QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100)

XNMS Sideways

· How we analyze

About the fund

The Invesco QQQ Trust is an exchange-traded fund that tracks the Nasdaq-100. This index comprises about one hundred non-financial companies on the Nasdaq exchange, selected by market value, with a high share of technology firms. The fund is managed by Invesco. As of Oct 13, 2026

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

No buy zone

There is currently no buy zone for this symbol under our Elliott rule. One only forms when the price pulls back after a strong rise.

An observation, not investment advice

Rule (daily candles) No current buy zone · as of Oct 14, 2026

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 1 day · As of Oct 23, 2026

Elliott wave analysis Invesco QQQ Trust (Nasdaq 100) (daily candles): wave 2 retracing, buy zone 61.8–78.6% of the advance, invalid below the start of wave 1. Elliott count: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y complete (3 of 3 guidelines). Candlestick chart QQQ with 70 daily candles from Jul 17, 2026 to Oct 23, 2026. Price has fallen below the buy zone. Rule setup: start on Sep 16, 2026, high on Oct 6, 2026, pullback low on Oct 23, 2026. All values as the distance from the top of the buy zone. Buy zone (61.8 to 78.6%) 0 to −1.5% (targets and stop for this zone from Watcher), invalid on a close below the start (−3.3%). Elliott count: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y complete (3 of 3 guidelines) (X = 47% of W; Y = 86% of W), invalid on a close above +5.4%. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. QQQ · daily candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) Price has fallen below the buy zone Start High Pullback low 61.80% (0%) 78.60% (−1.5%) invalid (−3.3%) invalid on a close above +5.4% 0 W X Y complete −8% −5% −3% 0% +3% +5% Aug Sep Oct As of Oct 23, 2026 · not investment advice Axis and values in brackets: distance from the top of the buy zone in %
  • daily candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Rule setup (blue line start → high → pullback low)
  • Buy zone (0.618–0.786) 0 to −1.5%
  • Setup void on a close below the start (level 1 = 100%)
  • Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone from Watcher
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)

Elliott count: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y complete (3 of 3 guidelines) · X = 47% of W; Y = 86% of W

Comparison: The rule treats the last rise as the possible start of an upward impulse (without checking its history and structure). The Elliott count reads it as the end of an upward correction (Y).

Note: Retracement at least 88.7% of A: flat possible (B in progress, type only with C).

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

How to draw it yourself
  1. Load the TradingView chart and choose the timeframe 1 day (daily candles).
  2. In the drawing toolbar on the left, choose the Fib Retracement tool (group with the horizontal lines).
  3. Click on the start of wave 1 (low of Sep 16, 2026) and drag to the high of Oct 6, 2026.
  4. The buy zone lies between the lines 0.618 and 0.786 (0 to −1.5%); line 1 is the start of wave 1 – if the price closes below it, the setup is void. The rule is only triggered by a candle close above the last swing high .
  5. Watcher Stop, Target 1 and Target 2 of this zone – and how to draw them – are available from Watcher.

On phones the drawing toolbar is hidden – drawing works better on a desktop.

Scenarios

Timeframe 1 day · As of Oct 23, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario (3 of 3 guidelines, strong) · no alternative

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

Main scenario

strong · 3 of 3 guidelines

As long as the daily close stays below the end of Y, this applies: complex countermove upward (Combination W-X-Y), Y complete – count points to falling prices.

Invalid if the daily close is above the end of Y (+5.4% from the top of the zone)

Alternative

If that breaks, this count no longer applies. Currently no alternative that follows the rules.

Save zone

With a free account: save the buy zone shown for yourself (stop and targets from Watcher). It stays visible even if the zone changes later. Log in · Sign up

Trend score +5

Price vs. EMA 50-15
Price vs. EMA 200+15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200+20
ADX (trend strength)-15
Highs and lows+0
Relative strength+0

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)25.8
Rel. strength 60 d–

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

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