MPC Marathon Petroleum

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Energy

· How we analyze

About the company

Marathon Petroleum is a US refinery operator. The company processes crude oil into gasoline, diesel and jet fuel and, through its subsidiary MPLX, holds interests in pipelines and storage for oil and gas. As of Oct 13, 2026

Fact sheet (from the annual report) Petroleum refining · Findlay, USA

MPC is an integrated company for processing and marketing (downstream) as well as transportation and storage (midstream). Its segments are called Refining & Marketing, Midstream and Renewable Diesel. The refineries on the Gulf Coast, the West Coast and in the Mid-Continent region produce fuels such as gasoline as well as heavy fuel oil and asphalt. Customers are independent retailers, wholesale customers, distributors with stations mainly under the Marathon brand and direct dealers whose sites mostly carry the ARCO brand. The Midstream area, with the MPLX partnership, operates pipelines, terminals, towboats and barges as well as gas processing and NGL fractionation facilities. The group produces renewable diesel at its own plant in Dickinson, North Dakota, and through a joint venture with Neste in Martinez.

Automatically summarized from SEC annual report (10-K, filed Feb 26, 2026) (website of the US Securities and Exchange Commission) · reviewed Oct 14, 2026

Price performance at a glance

Last 30 trading days
  • Today −7.4%
  • 7 days −8.2%
  • 30 days +10.8%
  • 1 year +122.2%
Day range (last trading day)
−0.4%Price at 5% of the range+7.5%
52-week range
−62.9%Price at 83% of the range+13.3%
Distance from the all-time high
−11.7%

Our own calculation from the exchange’s daily candles, as of Oct 27, 2026. “All-time” applies since the start of this series, not to the whole market. Changes in percent; the TradingView chart shows prices. “Today” = change of the last trading day versus the previous day. Not investment advice.

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

Still above the buy zone

  1. Still above
  2. Close
  3. In the buy zone
  4. Below

After a rise there is a buy zone; the price is still above it. “Near the buy zone” (from Watcher) shows how close it is.

As of: Close of the 4-hour candle Oct 27, 2026, 18:30 · Buy zone in the trade plan · An observation, not investment advice

Rule (4-hour candles) Zone valid since Oct 21, 2026 · last changed on Oct 27, 2026

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026

Elliott wave analysis Marathon Petroleum (4-hour candles): wave 2 retracing, buy zone 61.8–78.6% of the advance, invalid below the start of wave 1. Elliott count: Impulse, Impulse pattern (upward), Wave 2 in progress (2 of 2 guidelines). Candlestick chart MPC with 60 4-hour candles from Sep 16, 2026, 15:30 to Oct 27, 2026, 18:30. Buy zone detected – price still above it. Rule setup: start on Sep 23, 2026, 15:30, high on Oct 19, 2026, 15:30, pullback low on Oct 27, 2026, 18:30. All values as the distance from the top of the buy zone. Buy zone (61.8 to 78.6%) 0 to −4.6% (targets and stop for this zone from Watcher), invalid on a close below the start (−10.4%). Elliott count: Impulse, Impulse pattern (upward), Wave 2 in progress (2 of 2 guidelines) (W2 = 52% of W1), invalid on a close below −10.4%. Alternative: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y complete (2 of 3 guidelines). Rule setup on 4-hour candles – the rule evaluates MPC on this timeframe. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. MPC · 4-hour candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) Buy zone detected – price still above it Start High Pullback low 61.80% (0%) 78.60% (−4.6%) invalid (−10.4%) invalid on a close below −10.4% 0 1 2 in progress (a) (b) (c) −10% −5% 0% +5% +10% +15% Sep 18 Sep 24 Sep 30 Oct 6 Oct 12 Oct 16 Oct 22 last candle Oct 27, 2026, 18:30 · not investment advice Axis and values in brackets: distance from the top of the buy zone in %
  • 4-hour candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Rule setup (blue line start → high → pullback low)
  • Buy zone (0.618–0.786) 0 to −4.6%
  • Setup void on a close below the start (level 1 = 100%)
  • Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone from Watcher
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)

Elliott count: Impulse, Impulse pattern (upward), Wave 2 in progress (2 of 2 guidelines) · W2 = 52% of W1

Comparison: Rule and Elliott count agree: wave 2 in progress.

Alternative (not drawn): Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (upward), Y complete (2 of 3 guidelines)

Note: Structure ambiguous: leg W1 can also be read as three- or five-part.

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

How to draw it yourself
  1. Load the TradingView chart and choose the timeframe 4 hours (4-hour candles) – the buttons above the chart switch it as well.
  2. In the drawing toolbar on the left, choose the Fib Retracement tool (group with the horizontal lines).
  3. Click on the start of wave 1 (low of Sep 23, 2026 15:30) and drag to the high of Oct 19, 2026 15:30.
  4. The buy zone lies between the lines 0.618 and 0.786 (0 to −4.6%); line 1 is the start of wave 1 – if the price closes below it, the setup is void. The rule is only triggered by a candle close above the last swing high .
  5. Watcher Stop, Target 1 and Target 2 of this zone – and how to draw them – are available from Watcher.

On phones the drawing toolbar is hidden – drawing works better on a desktop.

Scenarios

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario: ahead (2 of 2 guidelines, strong) · Alternative: behind (2 of 3, medium)

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

Main scenario

ahead strong · 2 of 2 guidelines

As long as the 4-hour close stays above the start of wave 1, this applies: Upward move in five waves (Impulse), wave 2 in progress (pullback) – count then points to rising prices.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is below the start of wave 1 (−10.4% from the top of the zone)

Alternative

behind medium · 2 of 3 guidelines

If that breaks, the alternative moves to the front: complex countermove upward (Combination W-X-Y), Y complete – count points to falling prices, as long as the 4-hour close stays below the end of Y.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is above the end of Y (+16.8% from the top of the zone)

The price is still above the buy zone (0 to −4.6% from its top) (61.8–78.6% of the wave 1 rise). Rule trigger: the daily low reaches the zone, then a swing high forms and a daily close is above it. Whether the price reaches the zone is open – if it rises above the wave 1 high first, the setup is void. All percentages: distance from the top of the buy zone.

In the TradingView chart: Draw the buy zone in the chart with the Fibonacci tool (instructions next to the wave chart) or as two horizontal lines (tool “Horizontal Line”). If the price closes below the start of wave 1 (−10.4%), the setup is void – without an entry of the rule.

Trade plan of the rule

Exit with a gain

Buy zone – Rule trigger: candle close above the swing high

  • Buy zone (Fibonacci 61.8–78.6%) Top = reference point of the percentages 0 to −4.6%

Exit at a loss

Watcher Target 1, Target 2 and stop for this zone – with distance in percent and reward/risk – are available from Watcher. Plans and pricing Percentages from the top of the buy zone (61.8%) – not a forecast.

Rule-based, long only, 4-hour candles. Not a forecast and not investment advice. Lesson: the buy zone in 4 minutes

Save zone

With a free account: save the buy zone shown for yourself (stop and targets from Watcher). It stays visible even if the zone changes later. Log in · Sign up

Fundamental analysis

Marathon Petroleum · Sector Energy · amounts in USD

Information only – does not affect our buy zones, not investment advice. Source: SEC filings, As of Feb 26, 2026.

In short

  • Light yellow: Revenue grew over 5 years (+13.7% per year), more slowly than the sector median.
  • Light yellow: Net margin 3.0%, below the sector median (11.0%).
  • Light yellow: Profit in 9 of 10 fiscal years.

Summarized from the lights below. Describes the reported figures – not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RevenueNet income Net margin (below) in USD
  1. Fiscal year 2016 (Jan 1, 2016 – Dec 31, 2016): Revenue 63.3B USD · Net income 1.2B USD · Net margin 1.9%
  2. Fiscal year 2017 (Jan 1, 2017 – Dec 31, 2017): Revenue 74.1B USD · Net income 3.4B USD · Net margin 4.6%
  3. Fiscal year 2018 (Jan 1, 2018 – Dec 31, 2018): Revenue 95.8B USD · Net income 2.8B USD · Net margin 2.9%
  4. Fiscal year 2019 (Jan 1, 2019 – Dec 31, 2019): Revenue 123.9B USD · Net income 2.6B USD · Net margin 2.1%
  5. Fiscal year 2020 (Jan 1, 2020 – Dec 31, 2020): Revenue 69.8B USD · Net income −9.8B USD · Net margin −14.1%
  6. Fiscal year 2021 (Jan 1, 2021 – Dec 31, 2021): Revenue 120.0B USD · Net income 9.7B USD · Net margin 8.1%
  7. Fiscal year 2022 (Jan 1, 2022 – Dec 31, 2022): Revenue 177.5B USD · Net income 14.5B USD · Net margin 8.2%
  8. Fiscal year 2023 (Jan 1, 2023 – Dec 31, 2023): Revenue 148.4B USD · Net income 9.7B USD · Net margin 6.5%
  9. Fiscal year 2024 (Jan 1, 2024 – Dec 31, 2024): Revenue 138.9B USD · Net income 3.4B USD · Net margin 2.5%
  10. Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 132.7B USD · Net income 4.0B USD · Net margin 3.0%

Fiscal year 2025 (Jan 1, 2025 – Dec 31, 2025): Revenue 132.7B USD · Net income 4.0B USD · Net margin 3.0%

Key figures with traffic lights

Each light follows a simple, disclosed rule. The comparison is with the sector median of all 22 symbols in the Energy sector on our list (current members of the S&P 500 and other lists).

Revenue growth

Light yellow: below sector

+13.7% per year, last 5 years

Sector Energy: median +14.8% (21 symbols)

What does this mean? Revenue: over 5 years it grew by 13.7% per year on average, but more slowly than the median company in the sector (+14.8%).

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net income (total)

Light gray: not computable

– per year, last 5 years

per share: not computable (loss in the first or last year)

What does this mean? There was a loss in the first or last year. An annual growth rate cannot be calculated meaningfully then.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net margin

Light yellow: below sector

3.0% last fiscal year

Sector Energy: median 11.0% (21 symbols)

What does this mean? Of every 100 USD in revenue, 3.05 USD remained as profit – less than the median company in the sector (11.0%). Five years ago the margin was −14.1%.

Light rule: Green: at least the sector median (without a sector comparison: profit) · Yellow: profit, but below the median · Red: loss.

Debt / equity

Light gray: not available

– latest balance sheet

Sector Energy: median 0.35 (13 symbols)

What does this mean? No usable figure: reported financial debt or positive equity for the same balance sheet date is missing.

Light rule: Green: at most the sector median · Yellow: up to twice the median · Red: more than twice · Gray: without a sector comparison.

Payout ratio

Light green: covered

28% Dividend / earnings per share

Sector Energy: median 55% (16 symbols)

What does this mean? Of every 1 USD of earnings per share, 0.28 USD went to shareholders as a dividend. The rest stays in the company. Median company in the sector: 55%.

Light rule: Green: up to 60% of earnings · Yellow: up to 100% · Red: more than earnings or a dividend despite a loss · Gray for real estate (REITs). The sector median is for comparison only.

Profitable years

Light yellow: 1 loss year

9 of 10 fiscal years with a profit

What does this mean? In 9 of the last 10 fiscal years the bottom line showed a profit. One year ended with a loss.

Light rule: Green: profit in every year · Yellow: one loss year · Red: several loss years (at least 3 years needed).

Last fiscal year and 13F

Information, not a trading signal · Source: SEC EDGAR
Revenue (FY)
132.7B USD
Revenue vs. prior year
−4.4%
Net income (FY)
4.0B USD
Net income vs. prior year
+17.5%
EPS (FY)
13.22 USD
13F funds with a position
1 of 9
Funds vs. prior quarter
+1
Shares held vs. prior quarter
–
Fiscal year to Dec 31, 2025 · 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026 · Price-based figures (P/E, P/S, dividend yield, market cap) only when logged in. · Values as first reported; debt = reported financial debt (US GAAP: long-term). 13F: reporting date Jun 30, 2026, 9 tracked funds have filed (latest Aug 14, 2026), filed with up to 45 days of delay. Stock positions only; comparison with Mar 31, 2026 only across funds that filed for both quarters.
All figures as a table
Fiscal years (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
YearEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
2025Dec 31, 2025 132.7B4.0B 3.0% 13.22 3.73 28%
2024Dec 31, 2024 138.9B3.4B 2.5% 10.08 3.39 34%
2023Dec 31, 2023 148.4B9.7B 6.5% 23.63 3.08 13%
2022Dec 31, 2022 177.5B14.5B 8.2% 28.12 2.49 9%
2021Dec 31, 2021 120.0B9.7B 8.1% 15.24 2.32 15%
2020Dec 31, 2020 69.8B−9.8B −14.1% −15.13 2.32 –
2019Dec 31, 2019 123.9B2.6B 2.1% 3.97 2.12 53%
2018Dec 31, 2018 95.8B2.8B 2.9% 5.28 1.84 35%
2017Dec 31, 2017 74.1B3.4B 4.6% 6.70 1.52 23%
2016Dec 31, 2016 63.3B1.2B 1.9% 2.21 1.36 62%
Quarters (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
QuarterEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
Q2/26Jun 30, 2026 52.0B5.1B 9.9% 17.73 1.00 6%
Q1/26Mar 31, 2026 34.2B511.0M 1.5% 1.73 1.00 58%
Q4/25*Dec 31, 2025 32.6B1.5B 4.7% – – –
Q3/25Sep 30, 2025 34.8B1.4B 3.9% 4.51 0.91 20%
Q2/25Jun 30, 2025 33.8B1.2B 3.6% 3.96 0.91 23%
Q1/25Mar 31, 2025 31.5B−74.0M −0.2% −0.24 0.91 –
Q4/24*Dec 31, 2024 33.1B371.0M 1.1% – – –
Q3/24Sep 30, 2024 35.1B622.0M 1.8% 1.87 0.83 44%
Q2/24Jun 30, 2024 37.9B1.5B 4.0% 4.33 0.83 19%
Q1/24Mar 31, 2024 32.7B937.0M 2.9% 2.58 0.83 32%
Q4/23*Dec 31, 2023 36.3B1.5B 4.0% – – –
Q3/23Sep 30, 2023 40.9B3.3B 8.0% 8.28 0.75 9%

* Q4 derived: fiscal year minus the 9-month value (EPS cannot be derived this way); may be distorted by restatements.

How we calculate: values as first reported to the SEC (later corrections are left out), a fixed order of reporting tags per figure, partial sums are never added up. Growth per year over 5 years (otherwise 3 years). Quarters are labeled by the calendar quarter in which they end.

Insiders

All insider transactions
Insider purchases and sales on the market over 3, 6 and 12 months
PeriodPurchasesSalesNet
3 months $00 people $9.8M4 people −$9.8M
6 months $00 people $11.8M5 people −$11.8M
12 months $00 people $13.9M5 people −$13.9M

Latest transactions

  • Aug 31, 2026 Lyon Shawn M Officer Open-market sale 1,000 shares · $375.8K · SEC
  • Aug 28, 2026 Lyon Shawn M Officer Open-market sale 425 shares · $156.6K · SEC
  • Aug 27, 2026 Brzezinski Erin M Officer Open-market sale 570 shares · $206.8K · SEC
  • Aug 17, 2026 Benson Molly R Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 5,000 shares · $1.8M · SEC
  • Aug 17, 2026 Benson Molly R Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 5,000 shares · $1.8M · SEC
  • Aug 17, 2026 Benson Molly R Officer Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 7,196 shares · $2.6M · SEC

Source: mandatory filings with the SEC (Form 4), open-market purchases and sales only. General information, not investment advice.

Trend score +90

Price vs. EMA 50+15
Price vs. EMA 200+15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200+20
ADX (trend strength)+15
Highs and lows+10
Relative strength+15

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)35.5
Rel. strength 60 d+40.6%

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

More stocks from Energy

All symbols in this sector

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Set alert: MPC

Alerts with a free account: we send you an email as soon as the price moves above or below your level, reaches the buy zone or the buy zone becomes invalid.

Checked after every data update: crypto hourly (buy zones every 4 hours), stocks twice a day, precious metals every 4 hours on trading days, extended universe weekly – not in real time.

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