BABA Alibaba Group (ADR)

XNYS Down Alert

· How we analyze

About the company

Alibaba is a Chinese internet company. It runs the online marketplaces Taobao and Tmall, the international merchant platform AliExpress and the cloud division Alibaba Cloud. It also offers logistics and delivery services. Traded here as a US depositary receipt. As of Oct 13, 2026

Fact sheet (from the annual report) Miscellaneous business services · Causeway Bay

According to the company, Alibaba strategically focuses on AI + Cloud and consumption. Its business includes Alibaba China E-commerce Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group and the AI + Cloud areas. Through Taobao Instant Commerce, consumers in China order meals, groceries and medicines for fast delivery, among other things. Internationally, AliExpress, Trendyol in Turkey and Lazada in Southeast Asia belong to the group. Cloud Intelligence Group offers customers worldwide cloud and model services at the IaaS, PaaS and MaaS levels.

Automatically summarized from SEC annual report (20-F, filed May 20, 2026) (website of the US Securities and Exchange Commission) · reviewed Oct 15, 2026

Price performance at a glance

Last 30 trading days
  • Today −0.0%
  • 7 days −7.7%
  • 30 days −8.7%
  • 1 year −44.1%
Day range (last trading day)
−1.0%Price at 92% of the range+0.1%
52-week range
−8.2%Price at 9% of the range+82.1%
Distance from the all-time high
−68.6%

Our own calculation from the exchange’s daily candles, as of Oct 27, 2026. “All-time” applies since the start of this series, not to the whole market. Changes in percent; the TradingView chart shows prices. “Today” = change of the last trading day versus the previous day. Not investment advice.

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

No buy zone

There is currently no buy zone for this symbol under our Elliott rule. One only forms when the price pulls back after a strong rise.

An observation, not investment advice

Rule (4-hour candles) No active buy zone – the last one ended on Oct 21, 2026 · Setup invalid (close below the start of wave 1)

Watcher Full history: every change of the buy zone with its date.

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026

Elliott wave analysis Alibaba Group (ADR) (4-hour candles): Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) (provisional count); no buy zone of the rule on this timeframe. Candlestick chart BABA with 124 4-hour candles from Jul 31, 2026, 15:30 to Oct 27, 2026, 18:30. No buy zone of the rule on this timeframe – only the Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) (B = 53% of A; C = 82% of A), invalid on a close above the end of B. provisional count: The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: B. Alternative: Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (downward), Y in progress (3 of 3 guidelines). Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher. No value axis. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. BABA · 4-hour candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) No buy zone of the rule – Elliott count only Provisional count: sub-waves not visible here – check it yourself on the chart Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher invalid on a close above the end of B 0 A B C in progress (i) (ii) (iii) Sep Oct last candle Oct 27, 2026, 18:30 · not investment advice Without a buy zone of the rule: no value axis
  • 4-hour candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)
  • Dashed throughout with a label: fallback count (provisional count) – provisional, check it yourself on the chart
  • Watcher Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher

Elliott count: Zigzag (A-B-C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (3 of 3 guidelines) · B = 53% of A; C = 82% of A

provisional count The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart.

Alternative (not drawn): Combination (W-X-Y), Corrective pattern (downward), Y in progress (3 of 3 guidelines)

Note: Structure ambiguous: leg A can also be read as three- or five-part.

Note: Structure open: leg B cannot be broken down into sub-waves on this timeframe – provisional, check the count yourself on the chart.

Note: Retracement at least 88.7% of A: flat possible (B in progress, type only with C).

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

Scenarios

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario and alternative: level (3 of 3 guidelines each, strong) – the simpler or clearer pattern counts as the main scenario.

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

provisional count The inner sub-waves cannot be seen on this timeframe – the hard Elliott rules are met, the internal structure remains open. Provisional – check the count yourself on the chart. No visible sub-waves in: B.

Main scenario

tied strong · 3 of 3 guidelines

As long as the 4-hour close stays below the end of B, this applies: sharp countermove downward in three waves (Zigzag A-B-C), C in progress – count points to falling prices.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is above the end of B

Alternative

tied strong · 3 of 3 guidelines

If that breaks, the second reading no longer applies either: complex countermove downward (Combination W-X-Y), Y in progress – then there is no valid count for now; the next candles will produce a new one.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is above the end of X

Watcher Fibonacci target zones and levels for this count – as a help for your own review – from Watcher.

Save zone

With a free account: save the buy zone shown for yourself (stop and targets from Watcher). It stays visible even if the zone changes later. Log in · Sign up

Fundamental analysis

Alibaba Group (ADR) · amounts in CNY

Information only – does not affect our buy zones, not investment advice. Source: SEC filings, As of May 20, 2026.

In short

  • Light green: Revenue grew over 5 years (+7.4% per year).
  • Light red: Net income (total) shrank over 5 years (−7.2% per year); per share −4.3% per year.
  • Light green: Net margin 10.1%.
  • Light green: Profit in each of the last 10 fiscal years.

Summarized from the lights below. Describes the reported figures – not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RevenueNet income Net margin (below) in CNY
  1. Fiscal year 2017 (Apr 1, 2016 – Mar 31, 2017): Revenue 158.3B CNY · Net income 43.7B CNY · Net margin 27.6%
  2. Fiscal year 2018 (Apr 1, 2017 – Mar 31, 2018): Revenue 250.3B CNY · Net income 64.1B CNY · Net margin 25.6%
  3. Fiscal year 2019 (Apr 1, 2018 – Mar 31, 2019): Revenue 376.8B CNY · Net income 87.9B CNY · Net margin 23.3%
  4. Fiscal year 2020 (Apr 1, 2019 – Mar 31, 2020): Revenue 509.7B CNY · Net income 149.4B CNY · Net margin 29.3%
  5. Fiscal year 2021 (Apr 1, 2020 – Mar 31, 2021): Revenue 717.3B CNY · Net income 150.6B CNY · Net margin 21.0%
  6. Fiscal year 2022 (Apr 1, 2021 – Mar 31, 2022): Revenue 853.1B CNY · Net income 62.2B CNY · Net margin 7.3%
  7. Fiscal year 2023 (Apr 1, 2022 – Mar 31, 2023): Revenue 868.7B CNY · Net income 72.8B CNY · Net margin 8.4%
  8. Fiscal year 2024 (Apr 1, 2023 – Mar 31, 2024): Revenue 941.2B CNY · Net income 80.0B CNY · Net margin 8.5%
  9. Fiscal year 2025 (Apr 1, 2024 – Mar 31, 2025): Revenue 996.3B CNY · Net income 130.1B CNY · Net margin 13.1%
  10. Fiscal year 2026 (Apr 1, 2025 – Mar 31, 2026): Revenue 1.0T CNY · Net income 103.6B CNY · Net margin 10.1%

Fiscal year 2026 (Apr 1, 2025 – Mar 31, 2026): Revenue 1.0T CNY · Net income 103.6B CNY · Net margin 10.1%

Key figures with traffic lights

Each light follows a simple, disclosed rule. This symbol has no sector assignment – lights with a sector comparison stay gray or use only the basic rule.

Revenue growth

Light green: growing

+7.4% per year, last 5 years

What does this mean? Revenue: over 5 years it grew by 7.4% per year on average. Comparable values for a sector comparison are missing.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net income (total)

Light red: shrinking

−7.2% per year, last 5 years

per share: −4.3% per year (5 years, split-adjusted)

What does this mean? Total net income: over 5 years it fell by 7.2% per year on average.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net margin

Light green: Gain

10.1% last fiscal year

What does this mean? Of every 100 CNY in revenue, 10.12 CNY remained as profit. Comparable values for a sector comparison are missing.

Light rule: Green: at least the sector median (without a sector comparison: profit) · Yellow: profit, but below the median · Red: loss.

Debt / equity

Light gray: not available

– latest balance sheet

What does this mean? No usable figure: reported financial debt or positive equity for the same balance sheet date is missing.

Light rule: Green: at most the sector median · Yellow: up to twice the median · Red: more than twice · Gray: without a sector comparison.

Payout ratio

Light gray: none found

– Dividend / earnings per share

What does this mean? The loaded SEC filings of the last two fiscal years contain no dividend per share. Either the company pays none, or it reports it under a different tag.

Light rule: Green: up to 60% of earnings · Yellow: up to 100% · Red: more than earnings or a dividend despite a loss · Gray for real estate (REITs). The sector median is for comparison only.

Profitable years

Light green: profit every year

10 of 10 fiscal years with a profit

What does this mean? In 10 of the last 10 fiscal years the bottom line showed a profit. There were no losses in this period.

Light rule: Green: profit in every year · Yellow: one loss year · Red: several loss years (at least 3 years needed).

Last fiscal year and 13F

Information, not a trading signal · Source: SEC EDGAR
Revenue (FY)
1.0T CNY
Revenue vs. prior year
+2.7%
Net income (FY)
103.6B CNY
Net income vs. prior year
−20.4%
EPS (FY)
5.50 CNY
13F funds with a position
2 of 9
Funds vs. prior quarter
±0
Shares held vs. prior quarter
−38.5%
Fiscal year to Mar 31, 2026 · 20-F filed May 20, 2026 · Price-based figures (P/E, P/S, dividend yield, market cap) only when logged in. · Values as first reported; debt = reported financial debt (US GAAP: long-term). 13F: reporting date Jun 30, 2026, 9 tracked funds have filed (latest Aug 14, 2026), filed with up to 45 days of delay. Stock positions only; comparison with Mar 31, 2026 only across funds that filed for both quarters.
All figures as a table
Fiscal years (amounts in CNY, per share in CNY)
YearEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
2026Mar 31, 2026 1.0T103.6B 10.1% 5.50 – –
2025Mar 31, 2025 996.3B130.1B 13.1% 6.70 – –
2024Mar 31, 2024 941.2B80.0B 8.5% 3.91 – –
2023Mar 31, 2023 868.7B72.8B 8.4% 3.43 – –
2022Mar 31, 2022 853.1B62.2B 7.3% 2.84 – –
2021Mar 31, 2021 717.3B150.6B 21.0% 6.84 – –
2020Mar 31, 2020 509.7B149.4B 29.3% 6.99 – –
2019Mar 31, 2019 376.8B87.9B 23.3% 4.17 – –
2018Mar 31, 2018 250.3B64.1B 25.6% 3.06 – –
2017Mar 31, 2017 158.3B43.7B 27.6% 2.12 – –

* Q4 derived: fiscal year minus the 9-month value (EPS cannot be derived this way); may be distorted by restatements.

How we calculate: values as first reported to the SEC (later corrections are left out), a fixed order of reporting tags per figure, partial sums are never added up. Growth per year over 5 years (otherwise 3 years). Per-share values adjusted for stock split 8:1 (between Jun 5, 2019 and Nov 13, 2019). Quarters are labeled by the calendar quarter in which they end.

Insiders

All insider transactions
Insider purchases and sales on the market over 3, 6 and 12 months
PeriodPurchasesSalesNet
3 months $25.7M2 people $13.6M3 people +$12.1M
6 months $25.7M2 people $84.4M5 people −$58.7M
12 months $25.7M2 people $85.8M5 people −$60.2M

Latest transactions

  • Sep 30, 2026 Jiang Fang Officer Open-market sale 885,272 shares · $12.0M · SEC
  • Sep 25, 2026 Yu Siying Officer Open-market sale 6,764 shares · $91.9K · SEC
  • Sep 25, 2026 Jiang Fang Officer Open-market sale 4,889 shares · $66.3K · SEC
  • Sep 25, 2026 Xu Hong Chief financial officer (CFO) Open-market sale 103,046 shares · $1.4M · SEC
  • Aug 25, 2026 Tsai Joseph C Director Open-market purchase 720,000 shares · $10.4M · SEC
  • Aug 24, 2026 Tsai Joseph C Director Open-market purchase 720,000 shares · $10.3M · SEC

Source: mandatory filings with the SEC (Form 4), open-market purchases and sales only. General information, not investment advice.

Trend score -75

Price vs. EMA 50-15
Price vs. EMA 200-15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200-20
ADX (trend strength)+0
Highs and lows-10
Relative strength-15

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)15.1
Rel. strength 60 d−22.0%

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

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Set alert: BABA

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