ARM Arm Holdings

XNGS Down Alert

· How we analyze

About the company

Arm Holdings, based in Cambridge in the UK, designs processor architectures and sells licenses for them. Chipmakers build processors for smartphones, data centers, cars and connected devices on this basis and pay royalties per chip. The majority owner is Japan’s Softbank. Traded here as a US depositary receipt. As of Oct 16, 2026

Fact sheet (from the annual report) Semiconductors (chips) · Cambridge, United Kingdom

Arm develops computing platforms for processors and licenses them to other companies. Semiconductor companies, device makers and cloud providers pay a fee to design their own chips using the designs. In addition, Arm receives a royalty for almost every chip shipped with its technology. In the fiscal year to March 2026, a large share of these royalties came from smartphone processors. The business is divided into areas for smartphones and connected devices, for cars and robots, and for data centers and networks. In March 2026 Arm presented its first self-designed chip, the AGI CPU; production is to start by the end of 2026.

Automatically summarized from SEC annual report (20-F, filed May 26, 2026) (website of the US Securities and Exchange Commission) · reviewed Oct 17, 2026

Price performance at a glance

Last 30 trading days
  • Today +1.5%
  • 7 days +2.5%
  • 30 days −27.0%
  • 1 year +26.9%
Day range (last trading day)
−2.0%Price at 79% of the range+0.5%
52-week range
−55.9%Price at 36% of the range+99.8%
Distance from the all-time high
−49.9%

Our own calculation from the exchange’s daily candles, as of Oct 27, 2026. “All-time” applies since the start of this series, not to the whole market. Changes in percent; the TradingView chart shows prices. “Today” = change of the last trading day versus the previous day. Not investment advice.

Where is the price relative to the buy zone?

No buy zone

There is currently no buy zone for this symbol under our Elliott rule. One only forms when the price pulls back after a strong rise.

An observation, not investment advice

Rule (4-hour candles) No entry in the zone history yet (recording since Oct 12, 2026).

Automated analysis (rule-based)

How we analyze

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026

Elliott wave analysis Arm (4-hour candles): Flat (type known only after C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (1 of 3 guidelines); no buy zone of the rule on this timeframe. Candlestick chart ARM with 126 4-hour candles from Jul 29, 2026, 19:30 to Oct 27, 2026, 14:30. No buy zone of the rule on this timeframe – only the Elliott count: Flat (type known only after C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (1 of 3 guidelines) (B = 152% of A; C = 175% of A), invalid on a close above the end of B. Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher. No value axis. Automated analysis (rule-based), not investment advice. ARM · 4-hour candles · Automated analysis (rule-based) No buy zone of the rule – Elliott count only Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher invalid on a close above the end of B 0 A B C in progress (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) Aug Sep Oct last candle Oct 27, 2026, 14:30 · not investment advice Without a buy zone of the rule: no value axis
  • 4-hour candles (green = close above open, red = below)
  • Elliott count (thin gold line, waves in circles; dashed circle = still in progress; small = subwaves; red dashed = invalidation level)
  • Watcher Fibonacci target zones for this count from Watcher

Elliott count: Flat (type known only after C), Corrective pattern (downward), C in progress (1 of 3 guidelines) · B = 152% of A; C = 175% of A

Note: Flat type (regular, expanded, running) can only be decided once C is complete.

Note: Retracement at least 88.7% of A: flat possible (B in progress, type only with C).

Elliott count calculated automatically by fixed Elliott rules, not investment advice – display only, our buy zones do not use it. Provisional: The count can change with new candles.

Scenarios

Timeframe 4 hours · As of Oct 27, 2026 · from the Elliott count in the analysis chart

Weighting Main scenario (1 of 3 guidelines, weak) · no alternative

Weighting by guidelines met – not a probability.

Main scenario

weak · 1 of 3 guidelines

As long as the 4-hour close stays below the end of B, this applies: flat countermove downward in three waves (Flat, type known only after C), C in progress – count points to falling prices.

Invalid if the 4-hour close is above the end of B

Alternative

If that breaks, this count no longer applies. Currently no alternative that follows the rules.

Watcher Fibonacci target zones and levels for this count – as a help for your own review – from Watcher.

Fundamental analysis

Arm Holdings · amounts in USD

Information only – does not affect our buy zones, not investment advice. Source: SEC filings, As of May 26, 2026.

In short

  • Light green: Revenue grew over 3 years (+22.5% per year).
  • Light green: Net income (total) grew over 3 years (+19.9% per year); per share +18.6% per year.
  • Light green: Net margin 18.4%.
  • Light green: Profit in each of the last 5 fiscal years.

Summarized from the lights below. Describes the reported figures – not a recommendation to buy or sell.

RevenueNet income Net margin (below) in USD
  1. Fiscal year 2022 (Apr 1, 2021 – Mar 31, 2022): Revenue 2.7B USD · Net income 549.0M USD · Net margin 20.3%
  2. Fiscal year 2023 (Apr 1, 2022 – Mar 31, 2023): Revenue 2.7B USD · Net income 524.0M USD · Net margin 19.6%
  3. Fiscal year 2024 (Apr 1, 2023 – Mar 31, 2024): Revenue 3.2B USD · Net income 306.0M USD · Net margin 9.5%
  4. Fiscal year 2025 (Apr 1, 2024 – Mar 31, 2025): Revenue 4.0B USD · Net income 792.0M USD · Net margin 19.8%
  5. Fiscal year 2026 (Apr 1, 2025 – Mar 31, 2026): Revenue 4.9B USD · Net income 904.0M USD · Net margin 18.4%

Fiscal year 2026 (Apr 1, 2025 – Mar 31, 2026): Revenue 4.9B USD · Net income 904.0M USD · Net margin 18.4%

Key figures with traffic lights

Each light follows a simple, disclosed rule. This symbol has no sector assignment – lights with a sector comparison stay gray or use only the basic rule.

Revenue growth

Light green: growing

+22.5% per year, last 3 years

What does this mean? Revenue: over 3 years it grew by 22.5% per year on average. Comparable values for a sector comparison are missing.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net income (total)

Light green: growing

+19.9% per year, last 3 years

per share: +18.6% per year (3 years, split-adjusted)

What does this mean? Total net income: over 3 years it grew by 19.9% per year on average. Comparable values for a sector comparison are missing.

Light rule: Green: grows at least as fast as the sector median (without a sector comparison: grows) · Yellow: grows more slowly · Red: shrinks.

Net margin

Light green: Gain

18.4% last fiscal year

What does this mean? Of every 100 USD in revenue, 18.37 USD remained as profit. Comparable values for a sector comparison are missing.

Light rule: Green: at least the sector median (without a sector comparison: profit) · Yellow: profit, but below the median · Red: loss.

Debt / equity

Light gray: not available

– latest balance sheet

What does this mean? No usable figure: reported financial debt or positive equity for the same balance sheet date is missing.

Light rule: Green: at most the sector median · Yellow: up to twice the median · Red: more than twice · Gray: without a sector comparison.

Payout ratio

Light gray: none found

– Dividend / earnings per share

What does this mean? The loaded SEC filings of the last two fiscal years contain no dividend per share. Either the company pays none, or it reports it under a different tag.

Light rule: Green: up to 60% of earnings · Yellow: up to 100% · Red: more than earnings or a dividend despite a loss · Gray for real estate (REITs). The sector median is for comparison only.

Profitable years

Light green: profit every year

5 of 5 fiscal years with a profit

What does this mean? In 5 of the last 5 fiscal years the bottom line showed a profit. There were no losses in this period.

Light rule: Green: profit in every year · Yellow: one loss year · Red: several loss years (at least 3 years needed).

Last fiscal year and 13F

Information, not a trading signal · Source: SEC EDGAR
Revenue (FY)
4.9B USD
Revenue vs. prior year
+22.8%
Net income (FY)
904.0M USD
Net income vs. prior year
+14.1%
EPS (FY)
0.85 USD
13F funds with a position
–
Funds vs. prior quarter
–
Shares held vs. prior quarter
–
Fiscal year to Mar 31, 2026 · 20-F filed May 26, 2026 · Price-based figures (P/E, P/S, dividend yield, market cap) only when logged in. · Values as first reported; debt = reported financial debt (US GAAP: long-term). 13F: reporting date Jun 30, 2026, 9 tracked funds have filed (latest Aug 14, 2026), filed with up to 45 days of delay. Stock positions only; comparison with Mar 31, 2026 only across funds that filed for both quarters.
All figures as a table
Fiscal years (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
YearEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
2026Mar 31, 2026 4.9B904.0M 18.4% 0.85 – –
2025Mar 31, 2025 4.0B792.0M 19.8% 0.75 – –
2024Mar 31, 2024 3.2B306.0M 9.5% 0.29 – –
2023Mar 31, 2023 2.7B524.0M 19.6% 0.51 – –
2022Mar 31, 2022 2.7B549.0M 20.3% 0.54 – –
Quarters (amounts in USD, per share in USD)
QuarterEndRevenueNet income MarginEarnings per shareDividend per sharePayout
Q2/26Jun 30, 2026 1.3B270.0M 20.9% 0.25 – –
Q1/26*Mar 31, 2026 1.5B313.0M 21.0% – – –
Q4/25Dec 31, 2025 1.2B223.0M 18.0% 0.21 – –
Q3/25Sep 30, 2025 1.1B238.0M 21.0% 0.22 – –
Q2/25Jun 30, 2025 1.1B130.0M 12.3% 0.12 – –
Q1/25*Mar 31, 2025 1.2B210.0M 16.9% – – –
Q4/24Dec 31, 2024 983.0M252.0M 25.6% 0.24 – –
Q3/24Sep 30, 2024 844.0M107.0M 12.7% 0.10 – –
Q2/24Jun 30, 2024 939.0M223.0M 23.7% 0.21 – –
Q1/24*Mar 31, 2024 928.0M224.0M 24.1% – – –
Q4/23Dec 31, 2023 824.0M87.0M 10.6% 0.08 – –
Q3/23Sep 30, 2023 806.0M−110.0M −13.6% −0.11 – –

* Q4 derived: fiscal year minus the 9-month value (EPS cannot be derived this way); may be distorted by restatements.

How we calculate: values as first reported to the SEC (later corrections are left out), a fixed order of reporting tags per figure, partial sums are never added up. Growth per year over 5 years (otherwise 3 years). Quarters are labeled by the calendar quarter in which they end.

Insiders

All insider transactions
Insider purchases and sales on the market over 3, 6 and 12 months
PeriodPurchasesSalesNet
3 months $00 people $5.8M1 person −$5.8M
6 months $00 people $57.9M6 people −$57.9M
12 months $00 people $72.2M7 people −$72.2M

Latest transactions

  • Sep 21, 2026 Child Jason Chief financial officer (CFO) Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 10,400 shares · $3.1M · SEC
  • Aug 27, 2026 Child Jason Chief financial officer (CFO) Open-market sale · 10b5-1 plan 10,400 shares · $2.7M · SEC
  • Jun 2, 2026 Bartels Laura Kathleen Officer Open-market sale 11,306 shares · $4.4M · SEC
  • Jun 1, 2026 Abbey William Officer Open-market sale 3,922 shares · $1.6M · SEC
  • Jun 1, 2026 Abbey William Officer Open-market sale 2,644 shares · $1.0M · SEC
  • May 28, 2026 Abbey William Officer Open-market sale 4,200 shares · $1.4M · SEC

Source: mandatory filings with the SEC (Form 4), open-market purchases and sales only. General information, not investment advice.

Trend score -40

Price vs. EMA 50-15
Price vs. EMA 200-15
EMA 50 vs. EMA 200+20
ADX (trend strength)-15
Highs and lows+0
Relative strength-15

Volatility and trend strength

ADX 14 (trend strength)25.9
Rel. strength 60 d−6.2%

ATR and moving averages as price values only when logged in.

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News

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Set alert: ARM

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